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Geopolitical risk and corporate investment behavior: Evidence from the hospitality sector in India

Debojyoti Das, Pranav Dharmani, Anupam Dutta and Sankarshan Basu
2024
Working Paper No
694
Body

We examine the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and corporate investments considering 395 Indian hospitality sector firms from 2003 to 2020. We find a statistically significant negative association among the variables of interest. We also observe that even the less financially constrained firms cannot mitigate the adverse effects of GPR entirely. We further report that firms in this industry reduce investments more when the GPR rises compared to an increase in investments when the GPR falls by an equal proportion. Nonetheless, the optimum deployment of security forces can alleviate the adversities of GPR to a considerable extent. Our findings add further insights to the existing knowledge, which may be helpful for regulators and business leaders in other emerging markets.

Key words
Geopolitical risk; Corporate investments; Terrorist attacks; Hospitality sector; India
Author(s) Name: Debojyoti Das, Pranav Dharmani, Anupam Dutta and Sankarshan Basu, 2024
Working Paper No : 694
Abstract :

We examine the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and corporate investments considering 395 Indian hospitality sector firms from 2003 to 2020. We find a statistically significant negative association among the variables of interest. We also observe that even the less financially constrained firms cannot mitigate the adverse effects of GPR entirely. We further report that firms in this industry reduce investments more when the GPR rises compared to an increase in investments when the GPR falls by an equal proportion. Nonetheless, the optimum deployment of security forces can alleviate the adversities of GPR to a considerable extent. Our findings add further insights to the existing knowledge, which may be helpful for regulators and business leaders in other emerging markets.

Keywords : Geopolitical risk; Corporate investments; Terrorist attacks; Hospitality sector; India