Centres Of Excellence

To focus on new and emerging areas of research and education, Centres of Excellence have been established within the Institute. These ‘virtual' centres draw on resources from its stakeholders, and interact with them to enhance core competencies

Read More >>

Faculty

Faculty members at IIMB generate knowledge through cutting-edge research in all functional areas of management that would benefit public and private sector companies, and government and society in general.

Read More >>

IIMB Management Review

Journal of Indian Institute of Management Bangalore

IIM Bangalore offers Degree-Granting Programmes, a Diploma Programme, Certificate Programmes and Executive Education Programmes and specialised courses in areas such as entrepreneurship and public policy.

Read More >>

About IIMB

The Indian Institute of Management Bangalore (IIMB) believes in building leaders through holistic, transformative and innovative education

Read More >>

The Black – Scholes Merton Model: Implications for Option Delta and Probability of Exercise

Sunil Parameswaran and Sankarshan Basu
Journal Name
Theoretical Economics Letters
Journal Publication
others
Publication Year
2020
Journal Publications Functional Area
Finance & Accounting
Publication Date
Vol. 10(6), December 2020, Pg. 1307-1313
Abstract

This paper analyzes the implications of the Black-Scholes-Merton model of option pricing, for the deltas of call and put options and their respective probabilities of exercise at expiration. It derives a threshold value of the stock price and shows that in certain cases the options will have a delta in excess of 0.50, and will also have more than a 50% probability of exercise, while other options will have a delta that is lower than 0.50 and a probability of exercise that is lower than 50%. Similar results are obtained for the Garman-Kohlhagen model, which is an extension of the Black-Scholes Merton model, for valuing foreign currency options.

The Black – Scholes Merton Model: Implications for Option Delta and Probability of Exercise

Author(s) Name: Sunil Parameswaran and Sankarshan Basu
Journal Name: Theoretical Economics Letters
Volume: Vol. 10(6), December 2020, Pg. 1307-1313
Year of Publication: 2020
Abstract:

This paper analyzes the implications of the Black-Scholes-Merton model of option pricing, for the deltas of call and put options and their respective probabilities of exercise at expiration. It derives a threshold value of the stock price and shows that in certain cases the options will have a delta in excess of 0.50, and will also have more than a 50% probability of exercise, while other options will have a delta that is lower than 0.50 and a probability of exercise that is lower than 50%. Similar results are obtained for the Garman-Kohlhagen model, which is an extension of the Black-Scholes Merton model, for valuing foreign currency options.