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Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Two-sample Population Proportions Under Constraint on Their Difference

Shubhabrata Das
Journal Name
Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods
Journal Publication
others
Publication Year
2023
Journal Publications Functional Area
Decision Sciences
Publication Date
Vol. 52(9), 2023, Pg. 2836-2851
Abstract

We derive the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a population proportion when it differs from the same of a second population by a known value. This constrained MLE (CMLE) has a closed form in limited scenarios, which are completely characterized. These include the cases when the CMLE takes a boundary value in the parameter space. The existence of solution is established in the other cases and numerical methods are adopted in R and Excel to obtain the estimates solving a nonlinear equation. The standard error of the CMLE is estimated via bootstrap which also yields a confidence interval estimate; this is compared with a second method based on asymptotic distribution. The CMLE is of particular importance in the two sample testing of hypothesis of proportions based on independent samples, when these parameters differ by a non-zero value under the null hypothesis. Numerical computation establishes that the test statistic using the standard error based on this CMLE leads to a more reliable decision than the existing alternatives when the sample sizes are moderate to large.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Two-sample Population Proportions Under Constraint on Their Difference

Author(s) Name: Shubhabrata Das
Journal Name: Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods
Volume: Vol. 52(9), 2023, Pg. 2836-2851
Year of Publication: 2023
Abstract:

We derive the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a population proportion when it differs from the same of a second population by a known value. This constrained MLE (CMLE) has a closed form in limited scenarios, which are completely characterized. These include the cases when the CMLE takes a boundary value in the parameter space. The existence of solution is established in the other cases and numerical methods are adopted in R and Excel to obtain the estimates solving a nonlinear equation. The standard error of the CMLE is estimated via bootstrap which also yields a confidence interval estimate; this is compared with a second method based on asymptotic distribution. The CMLE is of particular importance in the two sample testing of hypothesis of proportions based on independent samples, when these parameters differ by a non-zero value under the null hypothesis. Numerical computation establishes that the test statistic using the standard error based on this CMLE leads to a more reliable decision than the existing alternatives when the sample sizes are moderate to large.