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Modelling household finances: A Bayesian approach to a multivariate two-part model

Sarah Brown, Pulak Ghosh, Li Su and Karl Taylor
Journal Name
Journal of Empirical Finance
Journal Publication
others
Publication Year
2015
Journal Publications Functional Area
Decision Sciences and Information Systems
Publication Date
Vol. 33, September 2015, pp. 190-207
Abstract

We contribute to the empirical literature on household finances by introducing a Bayesian multivariate two-part model, which has been developed to further our understanding of household finances. Our flexible approach allows for the potential interdependence between the holding of assets and liabilities at the household level and also encompasses a two-part process to allow for differences in the influences on asset or liability holding and on the respective amounts held. Furthermore, the framework is dynamic in order to allow for persistence in household finances over time. Our findings endorse the joint modelling approach and provide evidence supporting the importance of dynamics. In addition, we find that certain independent variables exert different influences on the binary and continuous parts of the model thereby highlighting the flexibility of our framework and revealing a detailed picture of the nature of household finances.

Modelling household finances: A Bayesian approach to a multivariate two-part model

Author(s) Name: Sarah Brown, Pulak Ghosh, Li Su and Karl Taylor
Journal Name: Journal of Empirical Finance
Volume: Vol. 33, September 2015, pp. 190-207
Year of Publication: 2015
Abstract:

We contribute to the empirical literature on household finances by introducing a Bayesian multivariate two-part model, which has been developed to further our understanding of household finances. Our flexible approach allows for the potential interdependence between the holding of assets and liabilities at the household level and also encompasses a two-part process to allow for differences in the influences on asset or liability holding and on the respective amounts held. Furthermore, the framework is dynamic in order to allow for persistence in household finances over time. Our findings endorse the joint modelling approach and provide evidence supporting the importance of dynamics. In addition, we find that certain independent variables exert different influences on the binary and continuous parts of the model thereby highlighting the flexibility of our framework and revealing a detailed picture of the nature of household finances.