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In the Heat of the Moment: Economic and Non-Economic Drivers of the Weather-Crime Relationship

David Blakeslee, Ritam Chaurey, Ram Fishman, Deepak Malghan and Samreen Malik
Journal Name
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Journal Publication
others
Publication Year
2021
Journal Publications Functional Area
Public Policy
Publication Date
Vol. 192, December 2021, Pg. 832-856
Abstract

Using daily data on the universe of crimes from 600 police stations in Karnataka, India between 2011 and 2016, and daily weather data from a dense network of monitoring stations, we study the daily and seasonal weather-crime relationship. We analyze a wide variety of crime types, and find that violent crimes respond to both daily and seasonal variation in temperatures and rainfall, whereas property crimes only respond to seasonal variation. The results provide novel evidence for the economic theory of crime, but also for the importance of non-economic drivers of violent crime, including violence against women and ethnically marginalized groups, and inter-group conflict.

In the Heat of the Moment: Economic and Non-Economic Drivers of the Weather-Crime Relationship

Author(s) Name: David Blakeslee, Ritam Chaurey, Ram Fishman, Deepak Malghan and Samreen Malik
Journal Name: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Volume: Vol. 192, December 2021, Pg. 832-856
Year of Publication: 2021
Abstract:

Using daily data on the universe of crimes from 600 police stations in Karnataka, India between 2011 and 2016, and daily weather data from a dense network of monitoring stations, we study the daily and seasonal weather-crime relationship. We analyze a wide variety of crime types, and find that violent crimes respond to both daily and seasonal variation in temperatures and rainfall, whereas property crimes only respond to seasonal variation. The results provide novel evidence for the economic theory of crime, but also for the importance of non-economic drivers of violent crime, including violence against women and ethnically marginalized groups, and inter-group conflict.