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Robust Procurement Design

Debasis Mishra, Sanket Patil and Alessandro Pavan
2026
Working Paper No
731
Body

We study procurement design when the buyer is uncertain about both the value of the good and the seller’s cost. The buyer has a conjectured model but does not fully trust it. She first identifies mechanisms that maximize her worst-case payoff over a set of plausible models, and then selects one from this set that maximizes her expected payoff under the conjectured model. Robustness leads the buyer to increase procurement from the least efficient sellers and reduce it from those with intermediate costs. We also study monopoly regulation and identify conditions under which quantity regulation outperforms price regulation.

Key words
Robust mechanism design, uncertainty, procurement, regulation
WP No. 731.pdf (956.58 KB)

Robust Procurement Design

Author(s) Name: Debasis Mishra, Sanket Patil and Alessandro Pavan, 2026
Working Paper No : 731
Abstract:

We study procurement design when the buyer is uncertain about both the value of the good and the seller’s cost. The buyer has a conjectured model but does not fully trust it. She first identifies mechanisms that maximize her worst-case payoff over a set of plausible models, and then selects one from this set that maximizes her expected payoff under the conjectured model. Robustness leads the buyer to increase procurement from the least efficient sellers and reduce it from those with intermediate costs. We also study monopoly regulation and identify conditions under which quantity regulation outperforms price regulation.

Keywords: Robust mechanism design, uncertainty, procurement, regulation
WP No. 731.pdf (956.58 KB)